Economic Calendar: macro releases and crypto events

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Time	Cur	Event	Act	Fcst	Prev
12:00 AM	NZD	ANZ Commodity PriceRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	0.6%	—	0.6%
ANZ Commodity Price What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
12:00 AM	NZD	ANZ Commodity Prices m/mRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	—	—	0.6%
ANZ Commodity Prices m/m What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
12:30 AM	HKD	S&P Global PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	—	49.5%	49.2%
S&P Global PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
12:30 AM	JPY	Jibun Bank Services PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	—	52.3	52.000
Jibun Bank Services PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
12:30 AM	AUD	Household Spending m/mRelease Consumer spending proxy — demand strength check. Done	0.6%	0.2%	0%
Household Spending m/m What it is: Retail sales or household consumption track how much consumers are spending. Reports may split auto, gasoline, and core retail, and show MoM / YoY changes. Why it matters: Strong spending supports growth narratives and can keep inflation sticky; weak spending raises slowdown fears. Surprises feed into FX and equity sector moves (discretionary vs defensives).
12:30 AM	AUD	Household Spending YoYHousehold Spending Consumer spending proxy — demand strength check. Done	6.8%	6.4%	6.8%
Household Spending YoY What it is: Retail sales or household consumption track how much consumers are spending. Reports may split auto, gasoline, and core retail, and show MoM / YoY changes. Why it matters: Strong spending supports growth narratives and can keep inflation sticky; weak spending raises slowdown fears. Surprises feed into FX and equity sector moves (discretionary vs defensives).
12:30 AM	SGD	S&P Global PMIGrowth PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	56.7	58.5	58.1
S&P Global PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
12:30 AM	AUD	RBA Chart PackMonetary Policy Policy rate decision — highest-impact macro catalyst. Done	—	—	—
RBA Chart Pack What it is: The central bank sets or guides its key policy rate (and may publish votes, statements, or projections). Guidance about the future path often moves markets as much as the hike/cut itself. Why it matters: This directly anchors the risk-free rate. Unexpected hikes or hawkish guidance typically strengthen the currency and weigh on equities/crypto risk; dovish surprises do the reverse.
01:45 AM	CNY	Services PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	50.8	51.7	51.6
Services PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
01:45 AM	CNY	Composite PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	52	52.2	52.4
Composite PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
02:00 AM	MAD	Unemployment RateLabor Market Jobless rate — slack vs tightness in the labor market. Done	10.5%	12%	9.5%
Unemployment Rate What it is: The unemployment rate is the share of the labor force that is without work and actively seeking a job. Rising unemployment usually means spare capacity; falling unemployment means a tighter market. Why it matters: Softening unemployment can accelerate easing expectations; very low unemployment with rising wages can keep policy restrictive. FX and rates often react when the print diverges from consensus.
02:30 AM	BHD	GDP Growth Rate YoYGrowth GDP growth — broad health check on the economy. Done	—	-5%	-3.8%
GDP Growth Rate YoY What it is: Gross Domestic Product summarizes output of goods and services over a quarter or year (QoQ / YoY, sometimes annualized). Revisions and breakdowns (consumption, investment, net exports) matter as much as the headline. Why it matters: Strong GDP supports risk appetite and can firm the currency if it also raises rate odds; weak GDP does the opposite. Watch the surprise vs forecast more than the absolute level.
03:35 AM	JPY	BoJ JGB Purchasecalendar Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	—	—	—
BoJ JGB Purchase What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
04:15 AM	AED	S&P Global Composite PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	54.8	55	55.300
S&P Global Composite PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
05:00 AM	INR	Services PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	55.8	56.2	56.2
Services PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
05:00 AM	INR	Composite PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	56.2	56.7	56.7
Composite PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
05:00 AM	SGD	6-Month T-Bill AuctionOther Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	1.86%	—	1.95%
6-Month T-Bill Auction What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
06:00 AM	UZS	Interest Rate DecisionMonetary Policy Policy rate decision — highest-impact macro catalyst. Done	14%	14%	14%
Interest Rate Decision What it is: The central bank sets or guides its key policy rate (and may publish votes, statements, or projections). Guidance about the future path often moves markets as much as the hike/cut itself. Why it matters: This directly anchors the risk-free rate. Unexpected hikes or hawkish guidance typically strengthen the currency and weigh on equities/crypto risk; dovish surprises do the reverse.
06:00 AM	AZN	Interest Rate DecisionMonetary Policy Policy rate decision — highest-impact macro catalyst. Done	6.5%	6.5%	6.5%
Interest Rate Decision What it is: The central bank sets or guides its key policy rate (and may publish votes, statements, or projections). Guidance about the future path often moves markets as much as the hike/cut itself. Why it matters: This directly anchors the risk-free rate. Unexpected hikes or hawkish guidance typically strengthen the currency and weigh on equities/crypto risk; dovish surprises do the reverse.
07:15 AM	ZAR	S&P Global PMIGrowth PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	—	50.2	49%
S&P Global PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
07:30 AM	HUF	Industrial Output (YoY)Release Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	8.2%	6.6%	8.7%
Industrial Output (YoY) What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
07:30 AM	SEK	Services PMIGrowth PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	55.7	57	57.4
Services PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
07:30 AM	HUF	Industrial Production YoY PrelGrowth Industrial / manufacturing output — cyclical pulse. Done	8.2%	6.6%	8.7%
Industrial Production YoY Prel What it is: Industrial or manufacturing production tracks factory output volumes, often MoM and YoY. It is a real-activity gauge for goods-producing sectors. Why it matters: Strong prints support cyclical FX and equities in industrial economies; weak prints reinforce slowdown narratives. Surprises matter most when PMIs already point the same way.
08:00 AM	BRL	CPI m/mRelease Consumer inflation print — key input for rate expectations. Done	0.44%	0.7%	0.51%
CPI m/m What it is: Consumer Price Index (or related inflation rate) tracks how fast prices for a basket of goods and services are rising for households. Reports often include headline and core (ex food & energy) readings, month-over-month and year-over-year. Why it matters: Surprises vs forecast quickly reprice rate-cut or hike odds, which moves FX, bond yields, and risk assets. Hotter-than-expected inflation is usually hawkish for the local currency; cooler prints support easing bets.
08:00 AM	EUR	Unemployment ChangeRelease Jobs report — core labor-market signal for policy. Done	43.13%	18.7K	23.6K
Unemployment Change What it is: Non-farm payrolls / employment change counts jobs added or lost outside farming. It is often released with unemployment and wages, giving a snapshot of labor demand and slack. Why it matters: For the US Fed and many other central banks, labor strength anchors the policy path. Big beats tend to support the currency and yields; weak prints boost cut odds and can lift risk assets.
08:00 AM	MADAGASCAR	Interest Rate DecisionMonetary Policy Policy rate decision — highest-impact macro catalyst. Done	12.5%	13%	12.5%
Interest Rate Decision What it is: The central bank sets or guides its key policy rate (and may publish votes, statements, or projections). Guidance about the future path often moves markets as much as the hike/cut itself. Why it matters: This directly anchors the risk-free rate. Unexpected hikes or hawkish guidance typically strengthen the currency and weigh on equities/crypto risk; dovish surprises do the reverse.
08:00 AM	EUR	Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM PrelInflation Consumer inflation print — key input for rate expectations. Done	0.6%	0.3%	0.7%
Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel What it is: Consumer Price Index (or related inflation rate) tracks how fast prices for a basket of goods and services are rising for households. Reports often include headline and core (ex food & energy) readings, month-over-month and year-over-year. Why it matters: Surprises vs forecast quickly reprice rate-cut or hike odds, which moves FX, bond yields, and risk assets. Hotter-than-expected inflation is usually hawkish for the local currency; cooler prints support easing bets.
08:00 AM	EUR	Tourist Arrivals YoYTourist Arrivals Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	4.3%	1.2%	9.2%
Tourist Arrivals YoY What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
08:00 AM	CZK	Inflation Rate MoM PrelInflation Consumer inflation print — key input for rate expectations. Done	0.4%	0.5%	0%
Inflation Rate MoM Prel What it is: Consumer Price Index (or related inflation rate) tracks how fast prices for a basket of goods and services are rising for households. Reports often include headline and core (ex food & energy) readings, month-over-month and year-over-year. Why it matters: Surprises vs forecast quickly reprice rate-cut or hike odds, which moves FX, bond yields, and risk assets. Hotter-than-expected inflation is usually hawkish for the local currency; cooler prints support easing bets.
08:00 AM	CZK	Inflation Rate YoY PrelInflation Consumer inflation print — key input for rate expectations. Done	2.4%	2.5%	2.5%
Inflation Rate YoY Prel What it is: Consumer Price Index (or related inflation rate) tracks how fast prices for a basket of goods and services are rising for households. Reports often include headline and core (ex food & energy) readings, month-over-month and year-over-year. Why it matters: Surprises vs forecast quickly reprice rate-cut or hike odds, which moves FX, bond yields, and risk assets. Hotter-than-expected inflation is usually hawkish for the local currency; cooler prints support easing bets.
08:00 AM	AMD	Inflation Rate YoYInflation Consumer inflation print — key input for rate expectations. Done	4.3%	4.5%	4.3%
Inflation Rate YoY What it is: Consumer Price Index (or related inflation rate) tracks how fast prices for a basket of goods and services are rising for households. Reports often include headline and core (ex food & energy) readings, month-over-month and year-over-year. Why it matters: Surprises vs forecast quickly reprice rate-cut or hike odds, which moves FX, bond yields, and risk assets. Hotter-than-expected inflation is usually hawkish for the local currency; cooler prints support easing bets.
08:30 AM	SEK	Riksbank Interest Rate DecisionRelease Policy rate decision — highest-impact macro catalyst. Done	2%	2%	1.75%
Riksbank Interest Rate Decision What it is: The central bank sets or guides its key policy rate (and may publish votes, statements, or projections). Guidance about the future path often moves markets as much as the hike/cut itself. Why it matters: This directly anchors the risk-free rate. Unexpected hikes or hawkish guidance typically strengthen the currency and weigh on equities/crypto risk; dovish surprises do the reverse.
08:45 AM	EUR	Composite PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	—	48.4%	51
Composite PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
09:00 AM	EUR	Services PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	54.3	51.4	51.7
Services PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
09:25 AM	DKK	DGB Auctioncalendar Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	2.8%	—	2.83%
DGB Auction What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
09:30 AM	GBP	Composite PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	52.9	53.1	53.100
Composite PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
09:30 AM	GBP	Services PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	52.8	53.1	53.100
Services PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
09:30 AM	UGX	Balance of TradeTrade and External External balance — trade, CA, or FDI flows. Done	—	$ -280M	$-1143.7M
Balance of Trade What it is: Trade balance, current account, or FDI summarize a country’s cross-border goods, services, and capital flows. Deficits vs surpluses shape FX supply and demand over time. Why it matters: Better-than-expected balances can support the currency; wider deficits may weigh on it. Impact is usually larger for open, trade-driven economies than for the US.
09:30 AM	EUR	Balance of TradeTrade and External External balance — trade, CA, or FDI flows. Done	€398.4M	€-1010.0M	€-1380.5M
Balance of Trade What it is: Trade balance, current account, or FDI summarize a country’s cross-border goods, services, and capital flows. Deficits vs surpluses shape FX supply and demand over time. Why it matters: Better-than-expected balances can support the currency; wider deficits may weigh on it. Impact is usually larger for open, trade-driven economies than for the US.
10:00 AM	EUR	Core Harmonized CPI (YoY)Release Consumer inflation print — key input for rate expectations. Done	2.5%	2.5%	2.5%
Core Harmonized CPI (YoY) What it is: Consumer Price Index (or related inflation rate) tracks how fast prices for a basket of goods and services are rising for households. Reports often include headline and core (ex food & energy) readings, month-over-month and year-over-year. Why it matters: Surprises vs forecast quickly reprice rate-cut or hike odds, which moves FX, bond yields, and risk assets. Hotter-than-expected inflation is usually hawkish for the local currency; cooler prints support easing bets.
10:00 AM	EUR	Harmonized CPI (MoM)Release Consumer inflation print — key input for rate expectations. Done	0.4%	0.3%	0.6%
Harmonized CPI (MoM) What it is: Consumer Price Index (or related inflation rate) tracks how fast prices for a basket of goods and services are rising for households. Reports often include headline and core (ex food & energy) readings, month-over-month and year-over-year. Why it matters: Surprises vs forecast quickly reprice rate-cut or hike odds, which moves FX, bond yields, and risk assets. Hotter-than-expected inflation is usually hawkish for the local currency; cooler prints support easing bets.
10:00 AM	EUR	Harmonized CPI (YoY)Release Consumer inflation print — key input for rate expectations. Done	4%	3.9%	3.8%
Harmonized CPI (YoY) What it is: Consumer Price Index (or related inflation rate) tracks how fast prices for a basket of goods and services are rising for households. Reports often include headline and core (ex food & energy) readings, month-over-month and year-over-year. Why it matters: Surprises vs forecast quickly reprice rate-cut or hike odds, which moves FX, bond yields, and risk assets. Hotter-than-expected inflation is usually hawkish for the local currency; cooler prints support easing bets.
10:00 AM	EUR	Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Release Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	0.3%	—	0.2%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
10:00 AM	EUR	Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Release Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	2.5%	2.5%	2.5%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
10:00 AM	EUR	Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Release Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	0.4%	—	0.6%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
10:00 AM	EUR	Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Release Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	4%	3.9%	3.8%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
10:00 AM	EUR	Core CPI Flash Estimate y/yRelease Consumer inflation print — key input for rate expectations. Done	—	2.5%	2.5%
Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y What it is: Consumer Price Index (or related inflation rate) tracks how fast prices for a basket of goods and services are rising for households. Reports often include headline and core (ex food & energy) readings, month-over-month and year-over-year. Why it matters: Surprises vs forecast quickly reprice rate-cut or hike odds, which moves FX, bond yields, and risk assets. Hotter-than-expected inflation is usually hawkish for the local currency; cooler prints support easing bets.
10:00 AM	EUR	CPI Flash Estimate y/yRelease Consumer inflation print — key input for rate expectations. Done	3.7%	4%	3.8%
CPI Flash Estimate y/y What it is: Consumer Price Index (or related inflation rate) tracks how fast prices for a basket of goods and services are rising for households. Reports often include headline and core (ex food & energy) readings, month-over-month and year-over-year. Why it matters: Surprises vs forecast quickly reprice rate-cut or hike odds, which moves FX, bond yields, and risk assets. Hotter-than-expected inflation is usually hawkish for the local currency; cooler prints support easing bets.
12:00 PM	USD	MBA Mortgage Applications (WoW)Release Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	3.74%	—	3.4%
MBA Mortgage Applications (WoW) What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
12:00 PM	ETH	Ethereum Economic Zone unveils three cross-chain breakthroughs at Devconproject Crypto catalyst — watch tagged tickers for volatility. Done	—	—	—
Ethereum Economic Zone unveils three cross-chain breakthroughs at Devcon What it is: Ethereum Economic Zone unveils three cross-chain breakthroughs at Devcon A scheduled or news-driven crypto market event (listing, unlock, governance, conference, or headline risk) without a tighter subtype. Why it matters: Volatility often clusters near the stated time. Use the asset chips and source link to judge relevance to your book. Source:crypto.news
01:15 PM	USD	ADP Employment ChangeRelease Jobs report — core labor-market signal for policy. Done	86K	67K	90K
ADP Employment Change What it is: Non-farm payrolls / employment change counts jobs added or lost outside farming. It is often released with unemployment and wages, giving a snapshot of labor demand and slack. Why it matters: For the US Fed and many other central banks, labor strength anchors the policy path. Big beats tend to support the currency and yields; weak prints boost cut odds and can lift risk assets.
01:20 PM	EUR	ECB's Lane speechRelease Policy rate decision — highest-impact macro catalyst. Done	—	—	—
ECB's Lane speech What it is: The central bank sets or guides its key policy rate (and may publish votes, statements, or projections). Guidance about the future path often moves markets as much as the hike/cut itself. Why it matters: This directly anchors the risk-free rate. Unexpected hikes or hawkish guidance typically strengthen the currency and weigh on equities/crypto risk; dovish surprises do the reverse.
01:30 PM	USD	Trade BalanceOfficial External balance — trade, CA, or FDI flows. Done	—	-107.9B	-105.6B
Trade Balance What it is: Trade balance, current account, or FDI summarize a country’s cross-border goods, services, and capital flows. Deficits vs surpluses shape FX supply and demand over time. Why it matters: Better-than-expected balances can support the currency; wider deficits may weigh on it. Impact is usually larger for open, trade-driven economies than for the US. Source:BEA
01:30 PM	CAD	Trade BalanceRelease External balance — trade, CA, or FDI flows. Done	—	4.8B	4.2B
Trade Balance What it is: Trade balance, current account, or FDI summarize a country’s cross-border goods, services, and capital flows. Deficits vs surpluses shape FX supply and demand over time. Why it matters: Better-than-expected balances can support the currency; wider deficits may weigh on it. Impact is usually larger for open, trade-driven economies than for the US.
01:30 PM	CAD	ExportsRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	73.2	—	77.910
Exports What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
01:30 PM	CAD	ImportsRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	78.55	—	73.710
Imports What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
01:30 PM	CAD	International Merchandise TradeRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	5.35%	6.1%	4.2%
International Merchandise Trade What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
02:00 PM	PLN	NBP Base rateRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	3.75%	3.75%	3.75%
NBP Base rate What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
02:45 PM	USD	S&P Global Composite PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	55.9	57.6	54.9
S&P Global Composite PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
03:00 PM	USD	ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	51.4	54.8	54.9
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
03:00 PM	USD	ISM Services PMIRelease PMI survey — early read on expansion vs contraction. Done	54.5	54.8	54.9
ISM Services PMI What it is: Purchasing Managers’ Index is a diffusion survey of business conditions. Readings above 50 generally signal expansion; below 50, contraction. Manufacturing and services PMIs are watched separately. Why it matters: PMIs move before hard data. Upside surprises lift cyclical assets and can firm FX; soft PMIs can boost easing bets and pressure growth-sensitive currencies.
03:30 PM	USD	EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	-3.56%	-1.7M	-1.9M
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
03:30 PM	USD	EIA Distillate Stocks ChangeRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	—	—	-1.46%
EIA Distillate Stocks Change What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
03:30 PM	USD	EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. Done	-22.2	10%	3.87%
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
08:30 PM	USD	Total Vehicle SalesRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. 1h 39m	—	15.9%	16%
Total Vehicle Sales What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.
09:00 PM	BRL	Interest Rate DecisionRelease Policy rate decision — highest-impact macro catalyst. 2h 9m	—	13.75%	13.75%
Interest Rate Decision What it is: The central bank sets or guides its key policy rate (and may publish votes, statements, or projections). Guidance about the future path often moves markets as much as the hike/cut itself. Why it matters: This directly anchors the risk-free rate. Unexpected hikes or hawkish guidance typically strengthen the currency and weigh on equities/crypto risk; dovish surprises do the reverse.
11:00 PM	KRW	Current Account BalanceRelease External balance — trade, CA, or FDI flows. 4h 9m	—	—	46.11%
Current Account Balance What it is: Trade balance, current account, or FDI summarize a country’s cross-border goods, services, and capital flows. Deficits vs surpluses shape FX supply and demand over time. Why it matters: Better-than-expected balances can support the currency; wider deficits may weigh on it. Impact is usually larger for open, trade-driven economies than for the US.
11:50 PM	JPY	BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting MinutesRelease Macro release — compare actual vs forecast. 4h 59m	—	—	—
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes What it is: A scheduled macroeconomic indicator or policy-related print. Read the headline against consensus forecast and the prior reading to judge the surprise. Why it matters: Larger surprises vs forecast move FX, yields, and risk assets more than the absolute level. High-impact tags deserve closer attention near release.

ANZ Commodity Price

ANZ Commodity Prices m/m

S&P Global PMI

Jibun Bank Services PMI

Household Spending m/m

Household Spending YoY

S&P Global PMI

RBA Chart Pack

Services PMI

Composite PMI

Unemployment Rate

GDP Growth Rate YoY

BoJ JGB Purchase

S&P Global Composite PMI

Services PMI

Composite PMI

6-Month T-Bill Auction

Interest Rate Decision

Interest Rate Decision

S&P Global PMI

Industrial Output (YoY)

Services PMI

Industrial Production YoY Prel

CPI m/m

Unemployment Change

Interest Rate Decision

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel

Tourist Arrivals YoY

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

Inflation Rate YoY

Riksbank Interest Rate Decision

Composite PMI

Services PMI

DGB Auction

Composite PMI

Services PMI

Balance of Trade

Balance of Trade

Core Harmonized CPI (YoY)

Harmonized CPI (MoM)

Harmonized CPI (YoY)

Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)

Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)

Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)

Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)

Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y

CPI Flash Estimate y/y

MBA Mortgage Applications (WoW)

Ethereum Economic Zone unveils three cross-chain breakthroughs at Devcon

ADP Employment Change

ECB's Lane speech

Trade Balance

Trade Balance

Exports

Imports

International Merchandise Trade

NBP Base rate

S&P Global Composite PMI

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

ISM Services PMI

EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

EIA Distillate Stocks Change

EIA Gasoline Stocks Change

Total Vehicle Sales

Interest Rate Decision

Current Account Balance

BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes